less-super wednesday

02 Mar

Had to happen eventually. I didn’t do so well in my predictions (other than the fact that Trump and Clinton had a good day, but everybody knew that).

I voted for Sanders, and so did a bunch of people (and not just in my social circle, where he was huge). The math isn’t great for a Sanders ballot in November, but the spread isn’t that far off (especially if you discount the superdelagate hype, which isn’t really in play yet), but either way, Sanders in the race and winning around 35-40 percent of things like he’s been doing is going to keep normalizing the more liberal positions and pulling Clinton a little further to the left, which I think was at least part of Sanders’ plan all along.

I’ll take it.

I spent part of my lunch break today poking through my county’s election results to see how things worked out (and partially because I love digging through statistical data for some reason). Although Virginia ultimately went to Mr. Trump, Senator Rubio did really well here, losing by only a little more than two percent. He actually won my county by a few hundred votes, and both Rubio and Trump each doubled Cruz’s total.

And five people out in the West side of the county voted for Rick Santorum. Huh.

The county as a whole (and historically, as part of the 4th congressional district, which is changing up this year) tends to split about 60/40 in favor of Republicans, and the breakdown between the participants in each primary split about that way.

Because I’m nosy about my neighbors, I always like to dig into my individual precinct. The R/D split was about the usual, 57%/43%.

Trump killed it killed it here, however, getting 40% of the Republican total (Interestingly, he pulled almost as many votes as the entire Democratic field); this doesn’t surprise me, as the only yard signs I’ve seen in the area are Trump signs, and the village where I live was one of the original Tea Party hotbeds a few years back. Also, the demographics fit Trump’s base to a tee (low-education, low-income white folks). Rubio came in second, Cruz a distant third, and one person, bless their heart, voted for Mike Huckabee.

On the Democratic side, Clinton won handily, but I was encouraged to see that Sanders beat both the state (35%) and county (33%) spreads, pulling in a little over 40% percent of the vote in my precinct.

Going forward, we’ve got a week off before the next contests on March 15; plenty of time for the momentum to slide around a bit depending on what strange things the candidates say, however, at this point, it’s going to be much harder (though not entirely impossible) to knock Clinton or Trump down at this point, but I know I’ll be watching.

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